The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a forecast indicating that Assam, along with most parts of India, is expected to experience above-normal temperatures during the upcoming summer months of April to June 2025. This projection raises concerns about prolonged heatwaves and their potential impact on public health, agriculture, and overall well-being.
IMD’s Temperature and Heatwave Forecast
According to the IMD’s recent summer forecast, above-normal maximum temperatures are anticipated across most regions of India, excluding certain parts of west peninsular India and isolated areas in east-central and eastern India where normal temperatures are expected. Notably, the forecast predicts an increase in the number of heatwave days, particularly in central and eastern regions, including Odisha, Jharkhand, and eastern Uttar Pradesh. Traditionally, India records four to seven heatwave days between April and June; however, this year, the IMD warns of six to ten such days, with the possibility of extending up to 11 days in some areas.
Implications for Assam
While the IMD’s forecast highlights specific states, it also suggests that above-normal temperatures are likely over most parts of the country, which includes Assam. The Northeast region, encompassing Assam, is expected to experience normal to above-normal minimum temperatures during April. This trend indicates warmer nights, which can exacerbate heat-related health risks.
Potential Health Risks
Elevated temperatures and extended heatwave periods pose significant health risks, particularly to vulnerable populations such as the elderly, children, and individuals with pre-existing health conditions. Heat-related illnesses, including heat exhaustion and heatstroke, become more prevalent under such conditions. The IMD emphasizes the importance of preparedness and public awareness to mitigate these risks.
Impact on Agriculture
The anticipated rise in temperatures could adversely affect agricultural activities in Assam. High temperatures during critical growth stages of crops can lead to reduced yields and quality. Farmers may need to adopt adaptive measures, such as adjusting sowing dates and implementing efficient irrigation practices, to cope with the changing climate conditions.
Advisories and Preparedness Measures
In light of the forecasted conditions, authorities and residents in Assam are advised to take proactive measures:
- Public Health Measures: Stay hydrated, avoid direct exposure to sunlight during peak hours, and utilize cooling mechanisms.
- Agricultural Practices: Implement heat-resilient farming techniques and monitor crop health regularly.
- Infrastructure Readiness: Ensure the availability of cooling centers and emergency medical facilities to address heat-related illnesses.
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